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Tests to Predict Severity in Acute Pancreatitis
Norton J. Greenberger, MD, MACP
Ocotber 16, 2000
Trypsinogen activation peptide (TAP), which is released during activation
of trypsinogen to trypsin, has shown promising predictive values because
of its status as a single marker specifically related to the onset of
acute pancreatitis. In a prospective multicenter study published in Lancet,
the predictive value of a TAP assay was compared with C-reactive protein
and other clinical scoring systems as a test of severity in acute pancreatitis (1).
Methods: Determination of TAP, as measured
by immunoassay, was compared with C-reactive protein, the Ransom Scoring
System, Glasgow Scoring System and the Apache II Scoring System in 137 patients
with mild pancreatitis, 35 patients with severe pancreatitis and 74 controls.
Main Findings:
- At 24 hours the mean urinary TAP was 37 nmol/L for patients with severe
pancreatitis compared to a value of 15 nmol/L in mild pancreatitis.
- Values for C-reactive protein were 24 mg/L in severe patients and
25 mg/L in patients with mild pancreatitis. The sensitivity, specificity,
positive predictive value, and negative predictive value for the TAP
urinary assay was 58%, 73%, 39% and 86% respectively at 24 hours.
Conclusions: The authors conclude that urinary
TAP provides an accurate prediction of severity 24 hours after onset of
symptoms in patients with acute pancreatitis. Further, they suggest that
this single marker of severity deserves routine clinical application
Commentary
Considerable attention has been focused on the important role of inflammatory
mediators in the pathophysiology of the systemic complications of acute
pancreatitis. Several mediators have shown demonstrable activity in the
course of acute pancreatitis and these include: 1) C-reactive protein;
2) neutrophil elastase; 3) cytokinins IL-6 and IL-8; 4) platelet activating
factor (PAF) and trypsinogen activation peptide (TAP). Acute pancreatitis
represents an autodigestion of the pancreas by its own proteases. How
and where these digestive processes are activated has remained a topic
of much controversy and speculation. However, it seems clear that activation
of zymogens within the pancreatic acinar cells plays an important role
in the development of acute pancreatitis.
In experimentally induced pancreatitis in rats, TAP immunoreactivity appeared
in a vesicular supranuclear compartment distinct from zymogen granules
and increased in time after hyperstimulation with caerulein (2).
In a similar study the pancreatic content of TAP increased
continuously, and although predominately localized in the zymogen fraction
early, it then expanded to other intracellular compartments (3). In experimentally
induced acute pancreatitis in the rat, levels of TAP in the peritoneal
exudate measured 3 and 6 hours after induction correlated well with the
amount of late histopathological injury (4).
In an earlier study dealing with urinary trypsinogen activation peptide
in patients with acute pancreatitis, Tenner et al determined
urinary TAP obtained within the first 40 hours after onset of symptoms
in patients with acute pancreatitis (5). This was a multicenter trial involving
several institutions. Urine samples were collected for TAP concentration
determination in 199 patients. Measurements were made at 6-12 hours, 24
hours and 40 hours after admission to the hospital. 99 patients had mild
disease, 40 had severe disease and 50 served as controls. The main finding
was that the median urinary TAP in 139 patients was significantly greater
than in 50 controls on admission 4-6, 6-12 and 24 hours after admission.
Importantly, urinary TAP levels for patients with severe disease (N=29)
was significantly higher than for 40 patients with mild disease 39.6 verses
3.6 ng/ml. All patients with severe pancreatitis had admission urinary
TAP levels greater than 10 ng/ml. In this particular study, the sensitivity
for TAP in predicting severe pancreatitis was 100% and specificity 85%.
To put the study of Neoptolemos et al in perspective, it is instructive
to examine the measurement of TAP compared with plasma C-reactive protein,
Apache II scoring systems, the Glasgow score and the Ransom score. This
summary is shown in the table. It can be seen that the sensitivity, specificity,
positive predictive value and negative predictive value as well as the
accuracy of the urinary TAP test were not that different from plasma CRP
or the Apache II score. When the urinary TAP values greater that 35 nmol/L
were combined with plasma C-reactive protein greater than 150 mg/L the
results were marginally better in terms of specificity and overall accuracy.
Forty-eight hours after admission, the accuracy of the five tests is comparable.
However, it can be argued that 48 hours is a relatively late point to be
identifying the patient with severe disease. As pointed out in an instructive
editorial by Windsor, "these results do not support the claim that urinary
TAP excretion has advantages over all of the other available prognostic
systems. However, urinary TAP is a single marker that can be measured
easily and early and because it is probably as good as other prognostic
markers its wider use is justified." I agree with this conclusion and
I look forward to other studies using this peptide.
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| Table: Scoring System |
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Sensitivity (%) |
Specificity (%) |
Positive Predictive Value (%) |
Negative Predictive Value (%) |
Accuracy (%) |
| 24 hours after admission |
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| Urinary TAP > 35 nmol/L |
|
68 |
74 |
44 |
89 |
73 |
| Plasma CRP > 150 mg/L |
|
47 |
82 |
42 |
84 |
74 |
| APACHE II > 8 |
|
63 |
73 |
38 |
88 |
71 |
| Urinary TAP > 35 nmol/L & plasma CRP > 150 mg/L |
|
40 |
91 |
57 |
83 |
79 |
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48 hours after admission |
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| Urinary TAP > 35 mnol/L |
|
83 |
72 |
44 |
94 |
74 |
| Plasma CRP > 152 |
|
80 |
61 |
37 |
94 |
66 |
| APACHE II > 8 |
|
56 |
64 |
30 |
85 |
63 |
Glasgow Score 3 |
|
75 |
75 |
44 |
93 |
76 |
Ransom Score 3 |
|
89 |
64 |
38 |
96 |
69 |
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| *Modified from Neoptolemos, J.P., Lancet, 355:1955-1960, 2000 |
References
- Neoptolemos, J.P., Kemppainen, E. A., Mayer, J. M. et al: Early prediction
of severity in acute pancreatitis by urinary trypsinogen activation
peptide. A multicenter study. Lancet, 355:1955-60,
2000.
- Otani, T., Chepilko, S.M., Grendell, J.H. et al: Codistribution of
TAP and the granule membrane protein GRAMP-92 in rat caerulein-induced
pancreatitis. Am. J. Physiol., 275:G999-G1009, 1998.
- Mithofer, K, Fernandez-del-Castillo, C., Rattner, D., et al: Subcellular
kinetics of early trypsinogen activation in acute rodent pancreatitis.
Am. J. Physiol., 274:G71-79, 1998.
- Schmidt, J., Ryschich, E., Sinn, H.P., et al: Trypsinogen activation
peptides (TAP) in peritoneal fluid as predictors of late histopathologic
injury in necrotizing pancreatitis of the rat. Dig. Dis. Sci.,
44:823-829, 1999.
- Tenner, S., Fernandes-del-Castillo, C., Warshaw, A., et al: Urinary
trypsinogen activation peptide predicts severity in patients with acute
pancreatitis. Int. J. Pancreatol., 21:105-110, 1997.
- Windsor, J.A.: Search for prognostic markers for acute pancreatitis.
Lancet, 355:1924-1925, 2000.
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